Six-Chart Sunday (#8) – Rematch!

6 Infographics from the week + 1 interview (world-changer Mellody Hobson)

1. U.S. Presidential Rematches: Biden vs. Trump 2024 will be the 7^th rematch in U.S. history (out of 60 Presidential elections). What the data show: Older candidates won 4 of 6; Challengers won 4 of 6; Taller men won 5 of 6. What the data prove: correlation ≠ causation.

2. Smallest U.S. House Majority in 70 years: With the departure of Rep. Ken Buck (R-CO-4), House Speaker Johnson now commands the smallest partisan majority since 1954, which started at 221R-213D and also shrunk to 218-213 by the end of the second session (due to deaths rather than departures).

3. The Middle Has Disappeared: Decades of data-driven gerrymandering, ideological self-sorting and partisan primary rules have rendered ~95% of U.S. House seats uncompetitive.

4. Racial Realignment in U.S. Politics?: Polls suggest non-white voters are shifting away from Democrats and towards Republicans (Nate Silver goes deeper here).

5. Regulation Nation: There were 233 “economically-significant” regulations under active consideration heading into the 4th year of the Biden Administration vs 138 at the same point in the Obama Administration and 119 under President Trump as his 4^th year began.

   

6. ABC: Always Bet on Chocolate: So far this year U.S. Cocoa Futures prices are up 93.6%, besting semiconductor powerhouse / AI bellwether Nvidia (up 82.3%).

   

   VIDEO

   Mellody Hobson on the power of grit, determination & curiosity