This column is excellent, and the entire election analysis covers a lot of good material. We remain very divided, but there are opportunities for the incoming Administration to do some good things.
Slide 5 contains some interesting historical bits, some of which I found surprising (e.g. Presidency 1975 being substantially more trusted than SCOTUS 1977 - crosstabs there would be fascinating; I suspect a lot of it has do with SCOTUS' involvement in the tail end of the Civil Rights era, e.g. school desegregation). It might be interesting to indicate on each "institution"'s arrow the value as of the last pre-9/11 Gallup value for each category (don't want to make the slide too busy).
Slide 25 is fascinating and slightly surprising, although I think you should think of the majority not as number of seats majority but as fraction of the total size of the House (which makes the effect even stronger!).
Not a typo/error, but on slide 34 I would say that Trump 1.0 also attempted to govern against DEI (to a greater degree than the degree to which he attempted to bend DoJ, at least until the last year or so), though certainly less intensively than I would expect in 2.0. Also probably a more target-rich environment - from my perspective (I live in CA-47, an interesting Ground Zero for all this) the national level D's median point has climbed down quite notably from Peak Woke since 2022, but Gaza in particular and the ME in general offers great opportunities for wedge splitting the already somewhat fractured D coalition.
This column is excellent, and the entire election analysis covers a lot of good material. We remain very divided, but there are opportunities for the incoming Administration to do some good things.
Slide 5 contains some interesting historical bits, some of which I found surprising (e.g. Presidency 1975 being substantially more trusted than SCOTUS 1977 - crosstabs there would be fascinating; I suspect a lot of it has do with SCOTUS' involvement in the tail end of the Civil Rights era, e.g. school desegregation). It might be interesting to indicate on each "institution"'s arrow the value as of the last pre-9/11 Gallup value for each category (don't want to make the slide too busy).
Slide 25 is fascinating and slightly surprising, although I think you should think of the majority not as number of seats majority but as fraction of the total size of the House (which makes the effect even stronger!).
Not a typo/error, but on slide 34 I would say that Trump 1.0 also attempted to govern against DEI (to a greater degree than the degree to which he attempted to bend DoJ, at least until the last year or so), though certainly less intensively than I would expect in 2.0. Also probably a more target-rich environment - from my perspective (I live in CA-47, an interesting Ground Zero for all this) the national level D's median point has climbed down quite notably from Peak Woke since 2022, but Gaza in particular and the ME in general offers great opportunities for wedge splitting the already somewhat fractured D coalition.