Six-Chart Sunday (#41) – Nobody Knows Nothin’ About Nothin’
6 Infographics from the week + 1 Video (pollster Bill McInturff on the Day After Tomorrow)
Everybody’s got a take. The Economist’s model says Harris is 52% likely to win. Nate Silver’s puts Trump at 51.5% likely. The New York Times’ polling average sees Harris +1%. Real Clear Politics’ average: Trump +0.3%. Voter enthusiasm favors Dems, Right track/Wrong track the GOP. Net favorability: advantage Harris; more trusted on the #1 issue (economy): advantage Trump. In reality, nobody knows nothin about nothin. If history proves anything, it’s that “it's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”
If you want a smart data-driven analysis of the current election dynamics, watch Monday’s video of legendary pollster Bill McInturff. If you want perspective, recall these epic prediction fails:
Nobody knows politics:
Nobody knows economics:
Nobody knows war & peace:
Nobody knows science & technology:
Nobody knows entertainment:
Nobody knows sports:
VIDEO
On Monday (10/28) Legendary pollster Bill McInturff walked through his final pre-election slides and took questions from 344 live attendees. Bill knows elections!… Fascinating stuff.AND
FINALLY… if you’re looking for great Twitter follows for Election Night, here’s 17 great ones:
Dave Wasserman is the best: @Redistrict
Others include: @NateSilver538, @MarkHalperin, @chriscillizza, @chrisstirewalt, @forecasterEnten, @PatrickRuffini, @jmart, @mollyesque, @AlexThomp, @kkondik, @Nate_Cohn, @chucktodd, @henryolsenEPPC, @bresreports, @dougmillsnyt, @cookpolitical
One of your best, Bruce. There's a poll for everyone out there right now.
Great charts, but Dave Wasserman on Twitter is @Redistrict (not @Recount)